Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 9.594886 10.803396 12.185997 13.903420 16.006232 18.533406 2.185809e+01
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.752112 9.278165 11.199390 13.866615 17.598013 22.847875 3.124655e+01
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.697303 8.322056 10.494996 13.744807 18.747049 26.705044 4.180317e+01
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.158694 7.893985 10.336322 14.236844 20.799268 32.605661 5.969455e+01
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.488764 7.169907 9.612174 13.680219 20.944576 35.209991 7.322650e+01
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.940306 6.546577 8.937228 13.052428 20.762595 37.066559 8.692909e+01
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.540285 6.095498 8.462193 12.663600 20.907819 39.686961 1.064501e+02
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.272954 5.815008 8.217104 12.624282 21.723881 44.306801 1.415696e+02
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.241068 5.889357 8.548729 13.682556 25.183735 58.244069 2.683357e+02
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.135017 5.833279 8.650379 14.318060 27.925192 72.699633 5.223840e+02
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.948830 5.629403 8.469665 14.348317 29.173221 83.237455 9.375711e+02
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.819647 5.508309 8.421744 14.647486 31.269819 100.134207 2.516809e+03
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.587711 5.215034 8.063122 14.287776 31.609592 110.818573 7.778941e+03
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.408805 5.002910 7.842078 14.222877 32.940771 130.857648 2.745552e+06
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.242023 4.798044 7.612038 14.094840 34.050428 153.256633 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.159464 4.733378 7.644601 14.605656 37.701893 211.204778 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.976450 4.476093 7.269470 14.027699 37.004188 224.267018 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.802191 4.224546 6.886254 13.376369 35.805520 229.326965 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.665621 4.033748 6.611925 12.973238 35.516972 248.625721 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.573118 3.917851 6.481346 12.932486 36.792584 303.367590 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.583298 3.990961 6.749041 14.030125 44.037751 603.536456 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.553244 3.986291 6.851022 14.690012 49.892325 1184.542299 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.478692 3.892020 6.748393 14.721444 52.340256 1883.073158 NaN